Session 5 Stop Smoking $16M in retirement. Compound interest

We have seen that we can get a free $60,000 car by taking advantage of compound interest.

In this strategy we are borrowing money under the Pension Loan Scheme and invest money in the stock market.

 After the first 5 year the loan exceeds the investment by a considerable amount but just because a little bit of extra return between 3.95% and 7% the investment will catch up with the loan in 13 years and makes you free of debt.

As a youngster I never took advantage of information about compound interest until many years later when I became an investment adviser.

Let us consider smoking

Say cigarettes cost $50 per packet and a 21 year old smokes a pack per day and spends $350 per week. This will service a loan of $250,000.

If the investment returns 7% it doubles ever 10 years

10 years  $    500,000

20 years   $1,000.000

30 years   $2,000,000

40 years   $4,000.000

50 years   $8,000.000

60 years   $16,000,000

I smoked a packet a day at age 21 and I am 81 now, 60 years later . Nobody told me about this but I could have had $16m by now. Still have to repay the $250,000 but I can cope with that.

You may have problems with getting a $250,000 loan but  you can buy bank shares on a margin scheme which means that the lender (stockbroker) uses the shares as security on a Loan to Valuation Ratio (LVR) of 70%. This means that if you want to buy $1000 of shares you need cash of $300. In other words every dollar you spend allows you to by $3.33 of shares.

This will  add 5 years to the example, So instead of having $16m you would only have $14m. Hardly worth it.

 In these equations I have only assumed a 7% in the growth of the shares . If we also take into account the dividend of the shares it will increase wealth considerably.

At a 3% dividend the doubling reduces from 10 years to 8 years , now giving you 32M in retirement

At a 7% dividend the  doubling reduces from 10 years to 6 years  now giving you 128M in retirement

Present return of bank shares is 7% growth and 5 % dividend.

Do your own research.

Of course if you smoke only 1 pack per week you have to reduce all figures by 1/7 giving you still a potential wealth in retirement of $9M

I am too old now to take full advantage of compound interest but we have seen that under a Pension Loan Scheme one of the options was to set up an investment trust for your grand children.

You can get an advance of $14,257 under this scheme and if you invest that for them  at the birth of a grandchild.

They will then have:

$ 28,514   When 10 years old

$ 57,028   When 20 years old

$114,056   When 30 years old

Enough  for a deposit on a house.

Of course if you have 3 grand children they will only get $38,019 which may still be enough for a deposit on a house

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